Archive | Bread & Bull

Jobs Beat. Iran Deal Dead. Oil Above $103. Now What?

Friday's jobs report beat by double the consensus and the Nasdaq hit 26,000 for the first time in history — but Iran deal optimism collapsed in the same session after Trump called Tehran's proposals 'totally unacceptable.'

Nathan Grey

Daily Brief

Dow Crossed 50,000. McDonald's Beat. Iran's Response Is Coming.

May 7, 2026

•

6 min read

Dow Crossed 50,000. McDonald's Beat. Iran's Response Is Coming.

The Dow briefly crossed 50,000 for the first time in history, McDonald's proved the American consumer is still showing up...

Nathan Grey

Daily Brief

The Ceasefire Is Over. Project Freedom Is Live. Spirit Airlines is Gone.

May 4, 2026

•

7 min read

The Ceasefire Is Over. Project Freedom Is Live. Spirit Airlines is Gone.

The ceasefire is over, Spirit Airlines is gone, Goldman just raised AI capex forecasts to $751 billion, and two U.S. ships made it through the Strait — here is the full picture before Palantir reports tonight.

Nathan Grey

Week Ahead

The Jersey Is in the Rafters. Here Is What Happens Next.

May 3, 2026

•

7 min read

The Jersey Is in the Rafters. Here Is What Happens Next.

Greg Abel raised Warren Buffett's jersey to the rafters in Omaha yesterday, then signaled patience on $400 billion in cash, telling the world that the greatest value investor in history doesn't see enough compelling value at today's prices to deploy aggressively

Nathan Grey

Daily Brief

Apple Beat. GDP Held. Oil Hit $126. The Best Month Since 2020 Is Over. Now What?

May 1, 2026

•

8 min read

Apple Beat. GDP Held. Oil Hit $126. The Best Month Since 2020 Is Over. Now What?

The S&P 500 gained more than 10% in a single month — its best performance since November 2020. The Nasdaq hit multiple all-time highs. What's next?

Nathan Grey

Daily Brief

Azure 40%. Cloud 63%. AWS Fastest in 15 Quarters. The AI Revolution Just Answered Its Critics.

Apr 29, 2026

•

7 min read

Azure 40%. Cloud 63%. AWS Fastest in 15 Quarters. The AI Revolution Just Answered Its Critics.

The AI Revolution answered its critics tonight — Azure hit 40%, Google Cloud surged 63%, and AWS delivered its fastest growth in 15 quarters — all in an 80-second window after the close, while Jerome Powell closed out his final press conference as Fed chair.

Nathan Grey

Daily Brief

The Fed Meets. The Most Important Day of 2026 Is 24 Hours Away.

Apr 28, 2026

•

7 min read

The Fed Meets. The Most Important Day of 2026 Is 24 Hours Away.

The S&P 500 and Nasdaq closed at new all-time highs Monday — on track for their best month since 2020 — as Iran made its most significant diplomatic concession yet by offering to decouple the Strait of Hormuz reopening from nuclear talks, while Procter & Gamble delivered a clean beat with volume growth returning for the first time in a year.

Nathan Grey

Daily Brief

Tesla Is Building a Million-Robot Factory. Next Week Is the Biggest Day of the Year

Apr 24, 2026

•

7 min read

Tesla Is Building a Million-Robot Factory. Next Week Is the Biggest Day of the Year

Iran's lead peace negotiator was removed by the IRGC this week — sending oil back above $105 and pulling the S&P 500 back from yet another intraday all-time high — while Tesla beat on earnings but rattled investors with $5 billion in additional capex and plans for a factory producing 1 million Optimus robots annually.

Nathan Grey

Daily Brief

The Deadline Passed. Trump Extended It. The Strait Is Still Closed.

Apr 22, 2026

•

7 min read

The Deadline Passed. Trump Extended It. The Strait Is Still Closed.

Trump extended the Iran ceasefire indefinitely last night — just hours before it expired — sending markets modestly higher in what is now the sixth straight TACO trade vindication, but the Strait of Hormuz remains closed, Iran seized two more ships today, and the open-ended extension carries no defined terms, no deadline, and no enforcement mechanism.

Nathan Grey

Week Ahead

48 Hours. Iran Is Reloading. The Market Doesn't Care Yet.

Apr 20, 2026

•

6 min read

48 Hours. Iran Is Reloading. The Market Doesn't Care Yet.

The Nasdaq's 13-day winning streak — the longest since 1992 — ended quietly today as Iran fired on commercial vessels in the Strait over the weekend, publicly announced it spent the ceasefire reloading its missiles, and pulled out of a second round of talks, calling Washington's demands 'childish' with the ceasefire now expiring Wednesday at 6:32 p.m. ET.

Nathan Grey

Daily Brief

The S&P 500 Just Hit a New All-Time High. But The War Isn't Over.

Apr 15, 2026

•

7 min read

The S&P 500 Just Hit a New All-Time High. But The War Isn't Over.

The S&P 500 hit a new all-time high today — erasing every loss from the Iran war in just ten trading sessions — even as a U.S. naval blockade remains in the Strait of Hormuz, the ceasefire expires in seven days, and Rystad Energy quietly doubled its Middle East infrastructure repair estimate to $58 billion.

Nathan Grey

Week Ahead

The Talks Failed. The Blockade Began but Markets Held Anyway

Apr 13, 2026

•

10 min read

The Talks Failed. The Blockade Began but Markets Held Anyway

The Islamabad talks collapsed after 21 hours of historic direct negotiations — the first between the U.S. and Iran since 1979 — sending oil back above $100 and triggering a U.S. Navy blockade of Iranian port traffic, while markets somehow held on Trump's signal that Iran 'still wants a deal.'

Nathan Grey